Newsletters


Please click on any of the newsletters below to read in greater detail
Banner: New Projects on the Social Science Prediction Platform
Who uses the SSPP and what benefits have they experienced?

Since launching last July, the SSPP has welcomed over 1,800 users and 19 projects that have collected over 1,600 predictions. We’re excited to share what we’ve learned about who is using the platform, how researchers want to contribute, collect, or share predictions, and which features have been most helpful in our new post on the BITSS blog. You can also learn more about generalizability challenges in policy-oriented research and how the SSPP can better inform decision-making in this interview with PI Eva Vivalt on a recent episode of the “Hear This Idea” podcast.
The Forecasting Challenge closes June 7

We are offering $25 Amazon gift cards to the first 200 graduate students who complete 10 surveys. Submit your predictions now!
Presenting the SSPP in a nutshell 

Watch and share our new video explaining the types of questions for which researchers can collect forecasts on the SSPP and the benefits of collecting predictions systematically, such as mitigating publication bias and hindsight bias, and improving study design. Click the image below to watch.
Video presenting the motivation for, and the main features of the Social Science Prediction Platform.
New project results are available

You can now access the results of several recently closed projects and see how they compare to your predictions and the average prediction. Log into your SSPP profile and click on the links below to access:
Graph showing the distribution of predictions for a project by Rommel et al (2021).
Open surveys

The following surveys are collecting responses. *Starred projects are offering financial incentives for respondents.

Submit a project

If you’re interested in collecting predictions, visit our Survey Guide or FAQs to get started. If you have questions or would like support, contact Nick Otis at support@socialscienceprediction.org.

If you know someone who might be interested in collecting or contributing predictions, please share this newsletter with them. Tell us about your experience using the SSPP, whether you’ve collected or contributed predictions, in this 5-minute survey.
Banner: New Projects on the Social Science Prediction Platform
In case you missed it, Nick Otis, Eva Vivalt, Arun Advani, and Stefano DellaVigna discussed lessons from the SSPP’s first six months and shared results from two projects that collected predictions on the platform at the recent BITSS Annual Meeting. Watch the panel discussion here and find slides here. Read on for results from the completed projects and links to new and open surveys. 
Stefano Dellavigna, Eva Vivalt, Nick Otis, and Arun Advani discuss the SSPP at the BITSS Annual Meeting.
Results from two projects are now available

You can now access the results of two recently closed projects and see how they compare to your predictions and the average prediction. Click on the links below to access:
The Forecasting Challenge is still open

Congratulations to the graduate students who have completed the Forecasting Challenge so far! Learn more about how to complete the challenge and win your own gift card here.
Open surveys

The following surveys are collecting responses. *Starred projects are offering financial incentives for respondents.

Submit a project

If you’re interested in collecting predictions, visit our Survey Guide or FAQs to get started. If you have questions or would like support, contact Nick Otis at support@socialscienceprediction.org.

If you know someone who might be interested in collecting or contributing predictions, please share this newsletter with them. Tell us about your experience using the SSPP, whether you’ve collected or contributed predictions, in this 5-minute survey.
Banner: New Projects on the Social Science Prediction Platform
Four new projects are now accepting predictions (more below)! If you’re a graduate student, weighing in on these projects can get you three surveys closer to completing the
Forecasting Challenge (read more about the Challenge and how to receive a $25 Amazon gift card here). Please make sure to complete your user profile to indicate your eligibility.

In response to your requests, we’ve also made it possible for project teams to host open and closed projects on permanent pages, so you can easily share and cite your survey instruments.

We want to hear from you! 

Tell us about your experience using the SSPP, whether you’ve collected or contributed predictions, in this 5-minute survey.

Open Surveys 

The following surveys are collecting responses. *Starred projects are offering financial incentives for respondents.

Submit a project!

If you’re interested in collecting predictions, visit our Survey Guide or FAQs to get started. If you have questions or would like support, contact Nick Otis at support@socialscienceprediction.org.

If you know someone who might be interested in collecting or contributing predictions, please feel free to share this newsletter with them. 
Since launching the SSPP in July, we’ve welcomed over 2,000 researchers, faculty, and students like you to our platform to predict the results of social science experiments and invite predictions for new studies. Your projects and predictions have focused on diverse topics ranging from the persistence of mental health interventions in India to the perception of race-related research in economics. You can now weigh in on five open projects (details below). Additional highlights include:

  • 216 faculty users, 437 students, and 196 researchers—you can update your profile information here if you haven’t filled out this information yet
  • 6 open surveys and 2 completed surveys
  • 1,337 total predictions and 167 average predictions per project
We hope your experience on the SSPP has been enlightening and useful. The platform is still young—we appreciate your questions and suggestions, which you can send to support@socialscienceprediction.org. As our community grows, we also hope you can help us spread the word.
Platform Updates

  • The Forecasting Challenge is now open! Graduate students who respond to 10 or more surveys will receive a $25 Amazon gift card. Please make sure to complete your user profile to indicate your eligibility. Read more here.
  • Project leads: You can now upload results from your completed projects so that others can see how things panned out after surveys have closed. Those responded to your surveys can also see how their predictions compare to these results.
  • For those who have elected to receive regular email digests, we expect to send our first messages next month. These will include open surveys that fit the interests you indicated in your profile. If you haven’t signed up for these yet, make sure to do so here.
  • We've created a guide containing a number of tools to help new users navigate the platform.Programming a forecasting survey? We've developed a Qualtrics template, and highlight some simple ways to improve your surveys.
Open Surveys

The following surveys are currently collecting responses. Estimates for how long surveys will take have been provided by the researchers.

Submit a project!

We’re accepting new projects! Visit our Survey Guide or FAQs for more information. If you’re not sure how to start, contact Nick Otis at support@socialscienceprediction.org with questions.