Public Prediction Bulletin

Abstract

This research employs an artefactual framed-field experiment with current students at the investigating University to assess how representation affects individuals’ perceptions of their ability to and/or likelihood to pursue higher education and field-specific careers, as well as the academic aptitude of their peers. Participation is open to current University students across all degree levels and academic fields. Participants will view a video depicting a panel of notable academics. Treatments will vary the panel depicted with regards to the gender diversity of the academics shown. Participants will be asked a series of questions both before and after the video is shown to compare treatment effects. We assess the effects of representation in academia on students’ perceptions of their likelihood of pursuing further education. The effect of social identity is also assessed.

Study ID sspp-2022-0036-v1
Authors Tongzhe Li, Danielle Roy
Discipline Economics
Field Economics Of Education, Experimental Economics, Behavioral Economics
Completion Time 10 Minutes
Close Date Sept. 26, 2022


Citation
Li, Tongzhe, and Danielle Roy. 2022. "Predictions - Effect of Representation in Higher Learning." Social Science Prediction Platform. July 26. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/xeye6f

Abstract

In a recent literature review, Gladstone and Cimpiani (2021) indicate that practitioners and policymakers see role models as the “one-stop solution for increasing diversity in STEM” and other male-dominated fields. In this forecast, we are interested in learning how well people can predict the effect of a two lessons video-based role models intervention among high school students. It comprises evidence of two experiments gathering about 47,000 students in more than 1,100 schools.

Study ID sspp-2022-0033-v1
Authors Igor Asanov, Thomas Astebro, Guido Bünstorf, Bruno Crépon, Francisco Flores, David McKenzie, Mona Mensmann, Mathis Schulte
Discipline Economics
Field Development Economics, Economics Of Education, Experimental Economics, Behavioral Economics
Completion Time 15 Minutes
Close Date Aug. 20, 2022


Citation
Asanov, Igor, Astebro, Thomas, Bünstorf, Guido, Crépon, Bruno, Flores, Francisco, McKenzie, David, Mensmann, Mona, and Mathis Schulte. 2022. "Effects of role models on promoting STEM and Entrepreneurship education." Social Science Prediction Platform. June 1. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/4xb06f



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Abstract

In a recent literature review, Gladstone and Cimpiani (2021) indicate that practitioners and policymakers see role models as the “one-stop solution for increasing diversity in STEM” and other male-dominated fields. In this forecast, we are interested in learning how well people can predict the effect of a two lessons video-based role models intervention among high school students. It comprises evidence of two experiments gathering about 47,000 students in more than 1,100 schools.

Study ID sspp-2022-0031-v1
Authors Igor Asanov, Thomas Astebro, Guido Bünstorf, Bruno Crépon, Francisco Flores, David McKenzie, Mona Mensmann, Mathis Schulte
Discipline Economics
Field Development Economics, Economics Of Education, Experimental Economics, Behavioral Economics
Completion Time 15 Minutes
Close Date July 15, 2022


Citation
Asanov, Igor, Astebro, Thomas, Bünstorf, Guido, Crépon, Bruno, Flores, Francisco, McKenzie, David, Mensmann, Mona, and Mathis Schulte. 2022. "Effects of role models on promoting STEM and Entrepreneurship education." Social Science Prediction Platform. May 12. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/xaz4e0



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Abstract

Boarding schools are a form of education where students live and learn at the school. Although traditionally boarding schools were mostly for upper-class English and American families, there has been recent interest in using boarding schools to improve the progress of disadvantaged students. This study took place in France, with a boarding school which serves relatively high ability students from poor families. In this survey we ask you to make forecasts of the long-run 9 year impacts of being offered a place at a boarding school

Study ID sspp-2022-0005-v1
Authors David Bernard
Discipline Economics
Field Economics Of Education
Completion Time 20 Minutes
Close Date June 30, 2022


Citation
David Bernard. 2022. "Long-run impacts of boarding school in France." Social Science Prediction Platform. March 3. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/d8cf4e

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Incentive Details

Incentive Type Based on forecast accuracy
Calculation Method
Recipient Pool Incentives are lottery-based
Lottery Percentage 5.0%

Abstract

This study was done in collaboration with a large NGO which gives cash transfers directly to very poor households. To be eligible for a transfer, households had to live in homes with thatched roofs. Eligible households were given three cash transfers over six months, totalling $1871 USD. We ask you to forecast the 6 year impacts on eligible and ineligible households.

Study ID sspp-2022-0006-v1
Authors David Bernard
Discipline Economics
Field Development Economics
Completion Time 20 Minutes
Close Date June 30, 2022


Citation
David Bernard. 2022. "Long-run general equilibrium effects of cash transfers in Kenya." Social Science Prediction Platform. March 3. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/2c6dbb

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Incentive Details

Incentive Type Based on forecast accuracy
Calculation Method
Recipient Pool Incentives are lottery-based
Lottery Percentage 5.0%