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Politically Motivated Reasoning

Study ID sspp-2025-0013-v1

General Details

Project Politically motivated reasoning
Study ID sspp-2025-0013-v1
Study Title Politically Motivated Reasoning
Authors Robin Musolff, Guy Yanay
Completion Time 10 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) June 30, 2025
Discipline Economics
Field Political Economics, Behavioral Economics
Country United States
Abstract
Differences in factual beliefs between members of opposing political parties are sometimes attributed to politically motivated reasoning. Using two different estimation tasks we examine the phenomenon. We focus on belief movement and simple signals.

Incentive Details

Incentive Type Based on forecast accuracy
Calculation Method
Recipient Pool Incentives are lottery-based
Lottery Percentage 90.0%




Citation
Musolff, Robin, and Guy Yanay. 2025. "Politically Motivated Reasoning." Social Science Prediction Platform. March 19. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/4c8bbb