Public Prediction Bulletin

Abstract

This project studies the effects of providing workers with information on relatively attractive occupations conditional on their past labor market experience, education, and preferences, as well as job search nudges.

Study ID sspp-2025-0027-v1
Authors Bryan Stuart, Alexander Bartik, Seth Chizeck
Discipline Economics
Field Labor Economics
Completion Time 10 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) Aug. 31, 2025


Citation
Stuart, Bryan, Bartik, Alexander, and Seth Chizeck. 2025. "NextUp Jobs - Allegheny County." Social Science Prediction Platform. May 24. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/680zc2



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Abstract

This trial assesses the impact of remote work with monthly office visits on productivity and job satisfaction among call center agents in Sanliurfa, Turkey. In the partner institution, agents typically work fully remotely. As part of the trial, some randomly selected employees will visit the office once a month. The study aims to evaluate productivity, job satisfaction, and retention over nine months. Follow-up surveys will be conducted several months after the intervention to measure long-term effects.

Study ID sspp-2025-0025-v1
Authors Cevat Giray Aksoy, Nicholas Bloom, Steven Davis, Victoria Marino, Cem Özgüzel
Discipline Economics
Field Development Economics, Labor Economics
Completion Time 5 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) Aug. 31, 2025


Citation
Aksoy, Cevat Giray, Bloom, Nicholas, Davis, Steven, Marino, Victoria, and Cem Özgüzel. 2025. "The Role of Monthly Office Days in a Fully Remote Work Model." Social Science Prediction Platform. May 20. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/4dfcc6



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Abstract

This study analyzes the correlation between statistical significance and media attention. We have coded results from a random sample of 1,000 National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Working Papers (WPs). Each NBER WP is linked to data from Altmetric.com to determine whether the NBER WP received any media attention.

Study ID sspp-2025-0037-v1
Authors Lester Lusher, Sunmi Jung, Brianna Funderburk
Discipline Economics, Other
Field Other
Completion Time 10 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) Aug. 31, 2025


Citation
Lusher, Lester, Jung, Sunmi, and Brianna Funderburk. 2025. "Statistical Significance and Media Attention." Social Science Prediction Platform. August 18. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/8ea48a

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Incentive Details

Incentive Type Based on forecast accuracy
Calculation Method Continuous: Based on absolute forecast accuracy
Recipient Pool Everyone receives the incentives

Abstract

Increasingly, researchers gather forecasts ex ante about the results of their research studies. Ex post, this allows for a comparison with the results to gauge contributions to the literature. But what do we know about the accuracy of these forecasts? We use a unique data set from the Social Science Prediction Platform for all 100 projects posted in the 2020-24 period, including results for 66 projects. This unique data set (with over 53,000 forecasts, 34,000 of which have results) contains detailed information on the projects and the forecasters, including tracking forecasters across projects. In this survey, we ask you to make predictions about various results we obtain from this dataset, including results on the mean forecasts and forecaster accuracy.

Study ID sspp-2025-0032-v1
Authors Stefano DellaVigna, Eva Vivalt
Discipline Economics
Field Behavioral Economics, Other
Completion Time 10 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) Aug. 8, 2025


Citation
DellaVigna, Stefano, and Eva Vivalt. 2025. "Forecasting the SSPP Research Results." Social Science Prediction Platform. July 8. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/zz8ee8



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Abstract

This study explores how subsidizing early-maturity rice seeds and providing information on sustainable crop residue management affect farmers’ decisions in Punjab, India. Your responses will help us understand and predict the impact of these interventions on reducing crop residue burning.

Study ID sspp-2025-0029-v1
Authors Piyush Gandhi
Discipline Economics
Field Development Economics, Environment, Resource And Energy Economics
Completion Time 5 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) July 15, 2025


Citation
Piyush Gandhi. 2025. "Predicting the Impacts of Input Subsidy and Training on Environmental Outcomes in Agriculture." Social Science Prediction Platform. June 6. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/0fx0ea