Public Prediction Bulletin

Abstract

We study firm beliefs about worker valuations of non-wage amenities.

Study ID sspp-2025-0051-v1
Authors Simon Cordes, Max Müller
Discipline Economics
Field Labor Economics
Completion Time 5 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) Jan. 15, 2026


Citation
Cordes, Simon, and Max Müller. 2025. "Firm Beliefs about Worker Preferences." Social Science Prediction Platform. November 20. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/4eyxc0

Abstract

We are conducting a study to understand the estimated impacts of training on forecasting accuracy. We are interested in your predictions of how effective different training modules will be in improving forecasting accuracy.

Study ID sspp-2025-0052-v1
Authors Jessie Barker, Ezra Karger, Rebecca Vessenes, Carter Allen, Mark Himmelstein, Pavel Atanasov, David Budescu
Discipline Psychology
Field Behavioral Science
Completion Time 15 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) Dec. 31, 2025


Citation
Barker, Jessie, Karger, Ezra, Vessenes, Rebecca, Allen, Carter, Himmelstein, Mark, Atanasov, Pavel, and David Budescu. 2025. "Forecasting Training Survey." Social Science Prediction Platform. November 17. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/dzzdfd

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Incentive Details

Incentive Type Based on forecast accuracy
Calculation Method Discrete: Fixed payment if forecast is within bounds
Recipient Pool Incentives are lottery-based
Lottery Percentage 5.0%

Abstract

In this study, we systematically analyze the magnitude and drivers of election-related smartphone consumption, using novel data on the content people observed on their phones during the 2024 U.S. election campaign.

Study ID sspp-2025-0050-v1
Authors Guy Aridor, Tevel Dekel, Rafael Jimenez Duran, Ro'ee Levy, Lena Song
Discipline Economics, Political Science
Field American Politics, Political Economy
Completion Time 5 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) Dec. 11, 2025


Citation
Aridor, Guy, Dekel, Tevel, Duran, Rafael Jimenez, Levy, Ro'ee, and Lena Song. 2025. "Digital News Consumption: Evidence from Smartphone Content in the 2024 US Elections." Social Science Prediction Platform. November 11. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/0ac28d



Download Qualtrics File

Abstract

We experimentally study the effects of different types of comparison points.

Study ID sspp-2025-0043-v1
Authors Thomas Graeber, Benjamin Enke
Discipline Economics
Field Behavioral Economics
Completion Time 10 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) Nov. 15, 2025


Citation
Graeber, Thomas, and Benjamin Enke. 2025. "Predicting the Effects of Comparison Points." Social Science Prediction Platform. October 1. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/x6a26z

Abstract

We are conducting a study to understand the estimated economic impacts of university-affiliated research parks. Your participation in this survey will help us gather anonymous information on the perceived influence such research parks might have on innovation, employment, and other economic outcomes.

Study ID sspp-2025-0034-v1
Authors Mihai Codreanu
Discipline Economics
Field Labor Economics
Completion Time 5 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) Oct. 31, 2025


Citation
Mihai Codreanu. 2025. "The Economic Impact of University Research Parks." Social Science Prediction Platform. July 15. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/fey8zx