Learn about the $10,000 prize for outstanding use of forecasts! (click here)
Survey will open in a new window or redirect momentarily, please keep this tab open! If the survey does not open, please enable popups and refresh the page.
ProjectIdeological alignment and evidence-based policy adoption Study IDsspp-2024-0007-v1 Study Title
Evidence based policy adoption and ideological alignment AuthorsPedro Rey-Biel, Jorge García-Hombrados, Berkay Ózcan, Antonio Roldán-Monés, Ángel Martínez, Marcel Jansen Completion Time5 Minutes Close DateApril 12, 2024 DisciplineEconomics, Political Science FieldPolitical Economics, Public Economics, Experimental Economics, Political Economy, Behavioral Economics CountrySpain Abstract We examine the impact of ideological alignment between institutions disseminating research
findings and policymakers on adopting evidence-based policies. We conduct a country-wide
RCT in which two ideologically opposite prominent think tanks, two major newspapers, and a
research institution with nonsalient ideology to communicate the exact same information about
a low-cost, non-ideological, and effective policy based on published research findings to a large
sample of Spanish local policymakers. We measure the direct impact of information on policy
adoption. We propose a three-stage conceptual framework of policy adoption processes - selective exposure to information, belief updating, and policy implementation.
Finally, we discuss the trade-offs between effectiveness and outreach when using
ideologically aligned and non-salient institutions to disseminate research evidence and comment
on the economic impact of ideological alignment for policy implementation.
Forecast Distributions
When uploading forecasting surveys, authors are asked to select several key questions which are often the questions they think are the most important to the study.