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Unpacking the Relationship Between Job Separations and Firm Productivity: An Expert Elicitation

Study ID sspp-2026-0004-v1

General Details

Project Drivers of the Firm-Level Separation-Productivity Relationship
Study ID sspp-2026-0004-v1
Study Title Unpacking the Relationship Between Job Separations and Firm Productivity: An Expert Elicitation
Authors Caue Dobbin, Daniel Fernandez, Tom Zohar
Completion Time 5 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) April 30, 2026
Discipline Economics
Field Labor Economics
Country Online (many countries)
Abstract
This study investigates the micro-drivers of the well-established cross-sectional correlation between firm-level job separations and productivity. This survey asks for your views on the drivers of labor turnover. A well-established fact in labor economics is the negative cross-sectional relationship between firm productivity and worker separation rates. We seek expert opinions on whether this relationship is primarily driven by voluntary quits (Q) or involuntary layoffs (L).


Forecast Distributions


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Citation
Dobbin, Caue, Fernandez, Daniel, and Tom Zohar. 2026. "Unpacking the Relationship Between Job Separations and Firm Productivity: An Expert Elicitation." Social Science Prediction Platform. March 6. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/z0bbyx