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ProjectInformality, Incidence, and Pass-through of VAT Exemptions Study IDsspp-2025-0031-v1 Study Title
Informality, Incidence, and Pass-through of VAT Exemptions AuthorsChristopher Hoy, Matias Strehl Pessina, Maholopa Laveil, Darian Naidoo Completion Time5 Minutes Close Date (UTC)Sept. 30, 2025 DisciplineEconomics FieldDevelopment Economics, Industrial Organization, Public Economics CountryPapua New Guinea Abstract We are soliciting expert predictions about a project analyzing the pass-through and incidence of Value Added Tax (VAT) exemptions on food in a low-income setting with very high levels of informality. We draw on detailed administrative data, a panel of nationally representative phone surveys, data scraped from supermarket websites, and direct observation of food prices across all supermarkets in the largest city in Papua New Guinea.
Forecast Distributions
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