Forecasting the results of a nudge tournament testing 7 different messages that promote mask-wearing among a large representative sample of Republicans and Democrats in the United States

Study ID sspp-2021-0008-v1

General Details

Project Nudge tournament on mask promoting messages among Republicans and Democrats
Study ID sspp-2021-0008-v1
Study Title Forecasting the results of a nudge tournament testing 7 different messages that promote mask-wearing among a large representative sample of Republicans and Democrats in the United States
Authors Eugen Dimant, Michele Gelfand, Dylan Pieper, Anna Dreber
Completion Time 20 Minutes
Close Date March 17, 2021
Discipline Psychology
Field Behavioral Insights
Country Online (limited countries)
Abstract
Our team developed a nudge tournament testing 7 different messages that promote mask-wearing among a large representative sample of Republicans and Democrats in the United States. We invite you and your colleagues to forecast the effectiveness of these nudge messages in a 20-minute survey. For making accurate predictions, you will receive raffle tickets that will increase your chances of winning a $50 Amazon Gift Card (10 total).

Incentive Details

Incentive Type Based on forecast accuracy
Calculation Method Discrete: Fixed payment if forecast is within bounds
Recipient Pool Incentives are lottery-based
Lottery Percentage 1.0%

Citation
Dimant, Eugen, Gelfand, Michele, Pieper, Dylan, and Anna Dreber. 2021. "Forecasting the results of a nudge tournament testing 7 different messages that promote mask-wearing among a large representative sample of Republicans and Democrats in the United States." Social Science Prediction Platform. February 22. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/xzd8c6