Autism and Strategic Thinking ($)

Study ID sspp-2026-0041-v1

General Details

Project Autism Game Theory 0922
Study ID sspp-2026-0041-v1
Study Title Autism and Strategic Thinking ($)
Authors Colin Camerer, Shiang-Hung Hu, Qianying Wu, Junya Fujino, Shisei Tei
Completion Time 10 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) Dec. 31, 2026
Discipline Economics, Psychology
Field Experimental Economics, Neuroscience, Behavioral Economics
Country Online (limited countries), Japan, United States
Abstract
We are conducting a study on autism and strategic reasoning. Data collection is ongoing in two samples: an online sample of adults with relatively higher or lower autistic-trait scores and an in-lab clinical sample of autistic and non-autistic adults. Participants complete several strategic-thinking games measuring depth of reasoning, response time, and choice imprecision. We ask you to predict the standardized group differences (Cohen’s d) for these outcomes. This survey includes a $50 accuracy bonus. Ten percent of forecasters will be selected at random, and one of their 10 predictions will be randomly chosen for evaluation. Selected forecasters will receive the bonus if that prediction is within 0.20 of the corresponding study estimate.

Incentive Details

Incentive Type Based on forecast accuracy
Calculation Method Discrete: Fixed payment if forecast is within bounds
Recipient Pool Incentives are lottery-based
Lottery Percentage 10.0%

Citation
Camerer, Colin, Hu, Shiang-Hung, Wu, Qianying, Fujino, Junya, and Shisei Tei. 2026. "Autism and Strategic Thinking ($)." Social Science Prediction Platform. September 23. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/f8yy6x