Long-run general equilibrium effects of cash transfers in Kenya

Study ID sspp-2022-0006-v1

General Details

Project GE Kenya
Study ID sspp-2022-0006-v1
Study Title Long-run general equilibrium effects of cash transfers in Kenya
Authors David Bernard
Completion Time 20 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) June 30, 2022
Discipline Economics
Field Development Economics
Country Kenya
Abstract
This study was done in collaboration with a large NGO which gives cash transfers directly to very poor households. To be eligible for a transfer, households had to live in homes with thatched roofs. Eligible households were given three cash transfers over six months, totalling $1871 USD. We ask you to forecast the 6 year impacts on eligible and ineligible households.

Incentive Details

Incentive Type Based on forecast accuracy
Calculation Method
Recipient Pool Incentives are lottery-based
Lottery Percentage 5.0%

Citation
David Bernard. 2022. "Long-run general equilibrium effects of cash transfers in Kenya." Social Science Prediction Platform. March 3. https://socialscienceprediction.org/s/2c6dbb