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Informality, Incidence, and Pass-through of VAT Exemptions (Public)

Project Informality, Incidence, and Pass-through of VAT Exemptions
Study ID sspp-2025-0031-v1
Study Title Informality, Incidence, and Pass-through of VAT Exemptions
Authors Christopher Hoy, Matias Strehl Pessina, Maholopa Laveil, Darian Naidoo
Completion Time 5 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) Sept. 30, 2025
Discipline Economics
Field Development Economics, Industrial Organization, Public Economics
Country Papua New Guinea
Abstract
We are soliciting expert predictions about a project analyzing the pass-through and incidence of Value Added Tax (VAT) exemptions on food in a low-income setting with very high levels of informality. We draw on detailed administrative data, a panel of nationally representative phone surveys, data scraped from supermarket websites, and direct observation of food prices across all supermarkets in the largest city in Papua New Guinea.



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