Aid, Economic Recovery, and Social Cohesion in Post-War Iraq (Public)
Project
Aid, Economic Recovery, and Social Cohesion in Post-War Iraq
Study ID sspp-2025-0028-v1
Study Title Aid, Economic Recovery, and Social Cohesion in Post-War Iraq
Authors Andrea Caflisch, Daniel Masterson, Stephen D. O'Connell, Julia Smith-Omomo
Completion Time 10 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) Sept. 30, 2025
Discipline Economics
Field Development Economics, Labor Economics
Country Iraq
Abstract
The protracted nature of recent displacement crises has resulted in increased interest from policymakers, donors, and aid organizations in durable solutions for the challenges faced by the forcibly displaced and their hosts. A pressing question is whether post-conflict recovery aid programs can contribute to sustained economic and social development. In the project we will describe to you, we are conducting a randomized controlled trial (RCT) of an ongoing, at-scale, livelihoods support program in Iraq that gives a $2,000 cash grant to economically vulnerable microentrepreneurs to start or expand a small business. The goal of the study is to recover causal effects of the focal intervention on both (a) beneficiaries and (b) non-beneficiaries who are socially and professionally proximate to beneficiaries. This survey will ask you to make predictions about the effects of such a program on both economic and social outcomes across these study samples.
Study ID sspp-2025-0028-v1
Study Title Aid, Economic Recovery, and Social Cohesion in Post-War Iraq
Authors Andrea Caflisch, Daniel Masterson, Stephen D. O'Connell, Julia Smith-Omomo
Completion Time 10 Minutes
Close Date (UTC) Sept. 30, 2025
Discipline Economics
Field Development Economics, Labor Economics
Country Iraq
Abstract
The protracted nature of recent displacement crises has resulted in increased interest from policymakers, donors, and aid organizations in durable solutions for the challenges faced by the forcibly displaced and their hosts. A pressing question is whether post-conflict recovery aid programs can contribute to sustained economic and social development. In the project we will describe to you, we are conducting a randomized controlled trial (RCT) of an ongoing, at-scale, livelihoods support program in Iraq that gives a $2,000 cash grant to economically vulnerable microentrepreneurs to start or expand a small business. The goal of the study is to recover causal effects of the focal intervention on both (a) beneficiaries and (b) non-beneficiaries who are socially and professionally proximate to beneficiaries. This survey will ask you to make predictions about the effects of such a program on both economic and social outcomes across these study samples.
Log In to Receive Additional Forecasting Benefits
Save your progress and compare your forecasts to the actual results of the study upon release by logging in.Don't have an account? Sign up here.
Continue without logging in
You can choose to make an account upon completion.