Access our forecaster panel - Submit your project today
Survey will open in a new window or redirect momentarily, please keep this tab open! If the survey does not open, please enable popups and refresh the page.
Do small businesses avoid the bank, or do loan officers refuse to lend (Public)
($)
General Details
ProjectDo small businesses avoid the bank, or do loan officers refuse to lend? Study IDsspp-2026-0031-v1 Study Title
Do small businesses avoid the bank, or do loan officers refuse to lend AuthorsEmma Zhang Completion Time15 Minutes Close Date (UTC)Oct. 1, 2026 DisciplineEconomics FieldDevelopment Economics CountryPakistan Abstract Improving small-business access to bank loans is often cited as a way of accelerating economic growth. Even though government subsidies for small business loans exist in over 100 low and middle-income countries, very few businesses apply. We investigate how small-business managers interact with bank loan officers, who gate-keep the loan application process, by running a series of field experiments in Pakistan.
Participate in our expert survey to predict the points where the firms struggled to overcome search and negotiation frictions with the bank!
Incentive Details
Incentive Type
Based on forecast accuracy
Calculation Method
Recipient PoolIncentives are lottery-based
Lottery Percentage
1.0%
Log In to Receive Additional Forecasting Benefits
Save your progress and compare your forecasts to the actual results of the study upon release by logging in. Don't have an account? Sign up here.