The Purpose page provides a better look at the reasons why it would be helpful to have a common platform researchers can use to gather predictions as to the effects their studies will find.
There are many existing prediction markets. We think there is value in each approach but want to focus on getting independent estimates from different agents. In a prediction market, respondents would be able to view each other’s best guesses before making their own prediction, and this could lead to biases.
This project is generously supported by the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation (grant number G-2019-12325) and an anonymous foundation.
We welcome submissions of new forecasting surveys. A heads up that submissions are subject to an approval process and not all submissions will be approved. If you have questions about whether your project would be a good fit, you can contact us here.